Bitcoin’s Low Volume Breakout Could Be a Bull Trap

Bitcoin seems primed for a transfer to $eight,000, however low buying and selling volumes level to the chance of a bull lure.

The cryptocurrency broke by way of a key descending trendline (drawn by way of the Might 6 excessive to the Might 21 excessive) on Sunday, including credence to final Tuesday’s bullish outside-day candle and signaling a short-term bearish-to-bullish pattern change.

Nevertheless, on the identical time, every day buying and selling quantity fell 1.77 % to $Four.85 billion, in keeping with CoinMarketCap. Additional, rolling 24-hour buying and selling quantity at the moment stands at $Four.95 billion – down 22.5 % from the present quarterly common of $6.38 billion.

Low quantity is a trigger for concern for the bulls, as it’s extensively thought of a signal that the market is approaching a peak; that’s, the rally shall be short-lived.

Therefore, a slight pullback seen in the present day doesn’t come as a shock. At time of writing, the cryptocurrency is buying and selling at $7,591 on Bitfinex – down 2 % from the day past’s (UTC) shut of $7,718.

Each day chart

The bullish outside-day candle adopted by a bullish crossover between the 5-day and 10-day shifting averages (MAs), and an upside break of the falling trendline, point out scope for a rally to $eight,000.

Nevertheless, the decline in buying and selling quantity during the last seven days places a query market on the sustainability of the corrective rally from $7,040 (Might 29 low) to $7,779 (Sunday’s excessive).

Four-hour chart

On the Four-hour chart, buying and selling quantity has picked up as costs fell again to $7,549 from the excessive of $7,764.

The anemic buying and selling quantity throughout the value rally and the later enhance in buying and selling quantity throughout damaging value motion signifies a excessive likelihood of a draw back break of the rising wedge sample. In such a case, bitcoin dangers falling again to final week’s low of $7,040.

View

  • The upside break of the falling trendline has opened the doorways for a rise to $eight,000. Nevertheless, low volumes could point out a false breakout.
  • A draw back break of the rising wedge seen within the Four-hour chart would permit a drop to $7,040.
  • Solely a high-volume break above $7,700 might yield a sustainable rally to $eight,000.

Trapped businessman picture by way of Shutterstock

The chief in blockchain information, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the very best journalistic requirements and abides by a strict set of editorial insurance policies. CoinDesk is an impartial working subsidiary of Digital Foreign money Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups.

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